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Start Braelon Allen or Isiah Pacheco? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Braelon Allen over Isiah Pacheco

Right: 4.0 to 0.0
Start

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · at TEN

Books imply
1.9
fantasy pts
TEN D vs RB
23.8
15th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
40%
Week 1
Target share
4%
Week 1
Scored
4.0
PPR pts
Sit

Isiah Pacheco

RB · DET · vs NO · inactive

NO D vs RB
36.4
5th most to RBs (2026)
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Braelon Allen over Isiah Pacheco in Week 1.

Isiah Pacheco is listed inactive on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Braelon Allen. Drafters take Braelon Allen at ADP 191 and Isiah Pacheco at 189. Market coverage on Braelon Allen is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Isiah Pacheco in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 1.9 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Isiah Pacheco and DET host NO.

NO allowed 36.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO and caught passes for 41 more yards.

Braelon Allen and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Isiah Pacheco has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Isiah Pacheco was listed as inactive when the call was made.

Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isiah Pacheco played 13 games for KC and scored 87.3 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing RB56.

He ran 118 times for 462 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 19 of 26 targets for 101 yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Isiah Pacheco, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 15 of 43 snaps, 9 carries for 32 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.2 PPR points.

Isiah Pacheco, Week 16 of 2025 against TEN: 33 of 45 snaps, 8 carries for 34 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 41 yards, 13.5 PPR points.

Isiah Pacheco, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 28 of 61 snaps, 11 carries for 21 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 1 went

Braelon Allen scored 4.0 PPR points and Isiah Pacheco scored 0.0.

The call was right: Braelon Allen outscored Isiah Pacheco by 4.0.

Braelon Allen finished 2.1 points above the 1.9 the props implied.

Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4.0 PPR points.

Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB50 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB40 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs rush yds line 1-3

Overall rank
157
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

Ranked behind

RB56 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 2-11

Overall rank
227
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board70
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 7 and tier 8
  • Board size244 draftable players

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