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Should I start C.J. Stroud or Geno Smith in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Week 10 verdict

Start

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs QB
19.0
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Start Stroud or Smith? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start C.J. Stroud over Geno Smith in Week 10: 17.4 to 15.0 PPR points a game over recent weeks.

Should I drop Geno Smith for C.J. Stroud?

Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Geno Smith.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB17 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 6-2

Market-based projection
16.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
155

QB26 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 6-3

Market-based projection
14.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
181

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on C.J. Stroud, and the board ranks him 155th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 30.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Geno Smith, and the board ranks him 181st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has C.J. Stroud at 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

C.J. Stroud's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and thrown 9.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 41 of 304 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 6 against JAX he completed 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 7 against NYG he completed 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 9 against LAC he completed 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 20 yards.

Through Week 9, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 53 of 310 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.

In Week 7 against MIA he completed 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against LV he completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

In Week 9 against KC he completed 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 C.J. Stroud scored 15.5 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 2.7 a game between them.

C.J. Stroud finished QB21 that year and Geno Smith QB23.

Geno Smith had 25 more pass attempts than C.J. Stroud, 448 to 423.

C.J. Stroud had 16 more passing yards than Geno Smith, 3041 to 3025.

This season Geno Smith holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 98 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

C.J. Stroud is off in Week 8 and Geno Smith in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for C.J. Stroud?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Geno Smith.

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Geno Smith?

    No. Keep C.J. Stroud: he projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Geno Smith.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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