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Start Dallas Goedert or Jake Ferguson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Dallas Goedert over Jake Ferguson

Start

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs WAS

WAS D vs TE
23.7
5th most to TEs (2026)
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at NYG

NYG D vs TE
8.2
9th fewest to TEs (2026)

Our Week 1 call

Start Dallas Goedert over Jake Ferguson in Week 1.

Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Dallas Goedert at ADP 124 and Jake Ferguson at 136.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dallas Goedert in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jake Ferguson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Dallas Goedert and PHI host WAS.

WAS allowed 23.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns against WAS.

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit NYG.

NYG allowed 8.2 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 32 yards and no touchdowns against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Dallas Goedert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dallas Goedert was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jake Ferguson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dallas Goedert played 15 games for PHI and scored 185.1 PPR points, 12.3 a game, finishing TE7.

He caught 60 of 82 targets for 591 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 357 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dallas Goedert, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 43 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 8 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.8 PPR points.

Dallas Goedert, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 61 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.2 PPR points.

Dallas Goedert, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 51 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns, 25.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Jake Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 27 of 92 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 7.6 PPR points.

Jake Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 40 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 4.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE10 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 5-10

Overall rank
122
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE13 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
141
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board19
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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