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Start George Kittle or Jake Ferguson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start George Kittle over Jake Ferguson

Start

George Kittle

TE · SF · at LAR · questionable

LAR D vs TE
7.1
8th fewest to TEs (2026)
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at NYG

NYG D vs TE
8.2
9th fewest to TEs (2026)

Our Week 1 call

Start George Kittle over Jake Ferguson in Week 1.

Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take George Kittle at ADP 105.4 overall and Jake Ferguson at 132.8.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for George Kittle in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jake Ferguson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

George Kittle and SF visit LAR.

LAR allowed 7.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against LAR.

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit NYG.

NYG allowed 8.2 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 32 yards and no touchdowns against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

George Kittle was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Jake Ferguson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, George Kittle played 11 games for SF and scored 161.5 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE13.

He caught 57 of 69 targets for 628 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 376 air yards.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

George Kittle, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 40 of 42 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 29 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

George Kittle, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 41 of 66 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 115 yards, 1 touchdown, 24.5 PPR points.

George Kittle, Week 15 of 2025 against TEN: 71 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 88 yards, 1 touchdown, 22.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Jake Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 27 of 92 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 7.6 PPR points.

Jake Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 40 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 4.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE7 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs catches line 5-6

Overall rank
104
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE13 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
142
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board38
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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