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Start Dallas Goedert or Jake Ferguson? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Dallas Goedert over Jake Ferguson

Start

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · at TEN

Books imply
10.2
fantasy pts
TEN D vs TE
14.6
12th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
95%
Through Week 1
Target share
23%
Through Week 1
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · vs WAS

Books imply
7.6
fantasy pts
WAS D vs TE
23.7
5th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
76%
Through Week 1
Target share
7%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Dallas Goedert over Jake Ferguson in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Dallas Goedert at 10.2 points and Jake Ferguson at 7.6, a gap of 2.6. Jake Ferguson's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Dallas Goedert at ADP 124 and Jake Ferguson at 136.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 10.2 fantasy points for Dallas Goedert, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 7.6 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

That puts Dallas Goedert 2.6 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Dallas Goedert and PHI visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 14.6 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 23 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.

Jake Ferguson and DAL host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 23.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns against WAS.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dallas Goedert is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Dallas Goedert played 95 percent of PHI snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 23 percent of the air yards and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Dallas Goedert, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 77 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 1, Jake Ferguson played 76 percent of DAL snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 2 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 1 against NYG: 44 of 58 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dallas Goedert played 15 games for PHI and scored 185.1 PPR points, 12.3 a game, finishing TE7.

He caught 60 of 82 targets for 591 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 357 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dallas Goedert, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 43 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 8 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.8 PPR points.

Dallas Goedert, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 61 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Jake Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 27 of 92 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 7.6 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE10 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 5-10

Overall rank
122
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE13 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
141
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board19
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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