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Start Isaiah Likely or Jake Ferguson? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Isaiah Likely over Jake Ferguson

Start

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · at LAR

Books imply
11.2
fantasy pts
LAR D vs TE
7.1
8th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
49%
Through Week 1
Target share
28%
Through Week 1
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · vs WAS

Books imply
7.6
fantasy pts
WAS D vs TE
23.7
5th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
76%
Through Week 1
Target share
7%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Isaiah Likely over Jake Ferguson in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Isaiah Likely at 11.2 points and Jake Ferguson at 7.6, a gap of 3.7. Jake Ferguson's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Isaiah Likely at ADP 137 and Jake Ferguson at 136.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 7.6 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 11.2 fantasy points for Isaiah Likely, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

That puts Isaiah Likely 3.7 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Jake Ferguson and DAL host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 23.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns against WAS.

Isaiah Likely and NYG visit LAR on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAR allowed 7.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against LAR.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Jake Ferguson played 76 percent of DAL snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 2 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 1 against NYG: 44 of 58 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Through Week 1, Isaiah Likely played 49 percent of NYG snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 1 against DAL: 34 of 69 snaps, 8 targets and 8 catches for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Jake Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 27 of 92 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 7.6 PPR points.

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Isaiah Likely, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards, 5.2 PPR points.

Isaiah Likely, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 53 of 76 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards, 5.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE5 · NYG · bye 8

2025 vs catches line 5-9

Overall rank
61
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE14 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
113
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board52
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 4
  • Board size242 draftable players

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