Start Khalil Shakir or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Khalil Shakir in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Deebo Samuel Sr. at 10.2 points and Khalil Shakir at 9.8, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 10.2 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Deebo Samuel Sr. a 31% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.8 fantasy points for Khalil Shakir, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Khalil Shakir at 40.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (14, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.4 points ahead of Khalil Shakir on the books.

Injury status

Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.

Khalil Shakir is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Khalil Shakir played 51 percent of BUF snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Khalil Shakir, Week 1 against HOU: 31 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Khalil Shakir, Week 2 against DET: 36 of 74 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Khalil Shakir played 16 games for BUF and scored 166.4 PPR points, 10.4 a game, finishing WR36.

He caught 72 of 95 targets for 719 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 178 air yards.

He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Khalil Shakir, Week 17 of 2025 against PHI: 59 of 76 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 35 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Adonai Mitchell over Deebo Samuel Sr..
• Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Davante Adams.
• Start George Kittle over Deebo Samuel Sr..
• Start Khalil Shakir over Adonai Mitchell.
• Start Davante Adams over Khalil Shakir.
• Start Khalil Shakir over Denzel Boston.