Start Jonathan Taylor or Derrick Henry? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Derrick Henry over Jonathan Taylor

- Books imply
- 24.5
- fantasy pts
- NO D vs RB
- 36.4
- 5th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 18.1
- fantasy pts
- KC D vs RB
- 11.7
- 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 89%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Derrick Henry over Jonathan Taylor in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Derrick Henry at 24.5 points and Jonathan Taylor at 18.1, a gap of 6.4. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 7 and Jonathan Taylor at 5. Market coverage on Derrick Henry is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 18.1 fantasy points for Jonathan Taylor, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 24.5 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Derrick Henry 6.4 points ahead of Jonathan Taylor on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Jonathan Taylor and IND visit KC on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
KC allowed 11.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 54 yards and no touchdowns against KC and caught passes for 23 more yards.
Derrick Henry and BAL host NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NO allowed 36.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO and caught passes for 41 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Jonathan Taylor is not on the injury report.
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Jonathan Taylor played 89 percent of IND snaps, took 95 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 63 percent of the red zone chances.
Jonathan Taylor, Week 1 against BAL: 48 of 54 snaps, 19 carries for 98 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Through Week 1, Derrick Henry played 54 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jonathan Taylor played 17 games for IND and scored 362.3 PPR points, 21.3 a game, finishing RB4.
He ran 323 times for 1585 yards and 18 touchdowns, and caught 46 of 55 targets for 378 yards.
He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jonathan Taylor, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 14 carries for 26 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards, 5.9 PPR points.
Jonathan Taylor, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 51 of 57 snaps, 21 carries for 70 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 14 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Derrick Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 20 carries for 126 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 12.6 PPR points.
Derrick Henry, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 48 of 76 snaps, 36 carries for 216 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4 touchdowns, 45.6 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB14 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 10-7
- Overall rank
- 35
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB19 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 46
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board11
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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