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Start Jared Goff or Deshaun Watson? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jared Goff over Deshaun Watson

Start

Jared Goff

QB

Books imply
17.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2
Books imply
16.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Jared Goff over Deshaun Watson in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jared Goff at 17.2 points and Deshaun Watson at 16.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jared Goff at 258.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 5% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Deshaun Watson at 190.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Jared Goff 0.3 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on the books.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 85 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Through Week 2, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 65 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 1 against JAX: 51 of 51 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 205 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 38 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 2 against TB: 58 of 58 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB17 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
101
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB19 · CLE · bye 11

Overall rank
109
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

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