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Start Joe Burrow or Drake Maye? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Drake Maye over Joe Burrow

Start

Drake Maye

QB · NE · vs PIT

Books imply
19.4
fantasy pts
PIT D vs QB
7.7
3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at HOU · Questionable

Books imply
17.2
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
35.7
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Drake Maye over Joe Burrow in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Drake Maye at 19.4 points and Joe Burrow at 17.2, a gap of 2.2. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Drake Maye at ADP 50 and Joe Burrow at 53.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.4 fantasy points for Drake Maye, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Drake Maye 2.2 points ahead of Joe Burrow on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Drake Maye and NE host PIT on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

PIT allowed 7.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 143 yards and a touchdown against PIT, with 2 interceptions.

Joe Burrow and CIN visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 35.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 334 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Joe Burrow has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Drake Maye is not on the injury report.

Joe Burrow is listed as questionable with a back injury.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Drake Maye played 100 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 42 times and threw an average of 6.7 air yards per attempt.

Drake Maye, Week 1 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 178 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions, 7 carries for 47 yards.

Through Week 1, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 37 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 1 against TB: 64 of 64 snaps, 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Drake Maye, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 14 of 18 passes for 191 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 41 yards, 15.7 PPR points.

Drake Maye, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 52 of 66 snaps, 19 of 21 passes for 256 yards, 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 22 yards, 32.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Joe Burrow, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 29 of 39 passes for 236 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards, 22.1 PPR points.

Joe Burrow, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 64 of 77 snaps, 24 of 31 passes for 305 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 20.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB4 · CIN · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 2-6

Overall rank
18
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB6 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 11-6

Overall rank
21
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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