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Start Joe Burrow or Josh Allen? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Josh Allen over Joe Burrow

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs DET

Books imply
24.8
fantasy pts
DET D vs QB
25.2
6th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at HOU · Questionable

Books imply
18.4
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
35.7
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Josh Allen over Joe Burrow in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Josh Allen at 24.8 points and Joe Burrow at 18.4, a gap of 6.3. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 19 and Joe Burrow at 26.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 24.8 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Josh Allen 6.3 points ahead of Joe Burrow on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host DET on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

DET allowed 25.2 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 410 yards and 3 touchdowns against DET, with 2 interceptions.

Joe Burrow and CIN visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 35.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 334 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Joe Burrow has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Joe Burrow is listed as questionable with a back injury.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 32 times and threw an average of 13.2 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Through Week 1, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 37 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 1 against TB: 64 of 64 snaps, 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Josh Allen, Week 17 of 2025 against PHI: 76 of 76 snaps, 23 of 35 passes for 262 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 27 yards, 23.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Joe Burrow, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 29 of 39 passes for 236 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards, 22.1 PPR points.

Joe Burrow, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 64 of 77 snaps, 24 of 31 passes for 305 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 20.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB4 · CIN · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 2-6

Overall rank
18
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB29 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 8-9

Overall rank
189
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board171
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 7
  • Board size244 draftable players

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