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Start Joe Burrow or Jalen Hurts? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jalen Hurts over Joe Burrow

Start

Jalen Hurts

QB · PHI · at TEN

Books imply
20.2
fantasy pts
TEN D vs QB
9.3
4th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at HOU · Questionable

Books imply
17.2
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
35.7
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Jalen Hurts over Joe Burrow in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Jalen Hurts at 20.2 points and Joe Burrow at 17.2, a gap of 3.1. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Jalen Hurts at ADP 73 and Joe Burrow at 53.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 20.2 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Jalen Hurts 3.1 points ahead of Joe Burrow on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 35.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 334 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU, with no interceptions.

Jalen Hurts and PHI visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 9.3 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 215 yards and no touchdowns against TEN, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Joe Burrow has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is listed as questionable with a back injury.

Jalen Hurts is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 37 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 1 against TB: 64 of 64 snaps, 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 21 yards.

Through Week 1, Jalen Hurts played 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 48 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Joe Burrow, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 29 of 39 passes for 236 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards, 22.1 PPR points.

Joe Burrow, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 64 of 77 snaps, 24 of 31 passes for 305 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 20.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 66 of 70 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 185 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 40 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB4 · CIN · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 2-6

Overall rank
18
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB12 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 7-9

Overall rank
31
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board13
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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