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Start Joe Burrow or Dak Prescott? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Dak Prescott over Joe Burrow

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs WAS

Books imply
17.6
fantasy pts
WAS D vs QB
24.7
8th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at HOU · Questionable

Books imply
17.2
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
35.7
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Dak Prescott over Joe Burrow in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Dak Prescott at 17.6 points and Joe Burrow at 17.2, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 69 and Joe Burrow at 53.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 17.6 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Dak Prescott 0.4 points ahead of Joe Burrow on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 35.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 334 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU, with no interceptions.

Dak Prescott and DAL host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 24.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns against WAS, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Joe Burrow has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is listed as questionable with a back injury.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 37 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 1 against TB: 64 of 64 snaps, 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 21 yards.

Through Week 1, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 36 times and threw an average of 9.1 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Joe Burrow, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 29 of 39 passes for 236 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards, 22.1 PPR points.

Joe Burrow, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 64 of 77 snaps, 24 of 31 passes for 305 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 20.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 7 of 11 passes for 70 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -1 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

Dak Prescott, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 92 of 92 snaps, 19 of 37 passes for 307 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 24 yards, 22.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB4 · CIN · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 2-6

Overall rank
18
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB14 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs anytime td line 2-15

Overall rank
33
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board15
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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