Start Patrick Mahomes or Drake Maye? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Patrick Mahomes over Drake Maye
- Books imply
- 19.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 18.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Patrick Mahomes over Drake Maye in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Patrick Mahomes at 19.1 points and Drake Maye at 18.4, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 19.1 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The books have Patrick Mahomes at 235.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 17.5 rushing yards, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (11, 16, 12 and 14 books).
Player prop markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Drake Maye, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The books have Drake Maye at 216.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 15 and 15 books).
That puts Patrick Mahomes 0.8 points ahead of Drake Maye on the books.
Injury status
Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.
Drake Maye is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 84 times and threw an average of 5.3 air yards per attempt.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 1 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 2 against IND: 80 of 80 snaps, 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 17 yards.
Through Week 2, Drake Maye played 100 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 69 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.
Drake Maye, Week 1 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 178 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions, 7 carries for 47 yards.
Drake Maye, Week 2 against PIT: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 22 passes for 208 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 56 of 61 snaps, 16 of 28 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 15 yards, 14.1 PPR points.
In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.
He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Drake Maye, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 14 of 18 passes for 191 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 41 yards, 15.7 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB6 · KC · bye 5
2025 vs pass yds line 6-8
- Overall rank
- 67
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
QB9 · NE · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 11-6
- Overall rank
- 76
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board9
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size230 draftable players
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