Start Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Jalen Hurts over Patrick Mahomes in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jalen Hurts at 20.2 points and Patrick Mahomes at 19.3, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 20.2 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jalen Hurts at 217.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 24.5 rushing yards, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 14 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.3 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Patrick Mahomes at 235.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 17.5 rushing yards, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Jalen Hurts 0.9 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes on the books.

Injury status

Jalen Hurts is not on the injury report.

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jalen Hurts played 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 48 yards.

Jalen Hurts, Week 2 against TEN: 76 of 76 snaps, 26 of 37 passes for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 5 carries for 16 yards.

Through Week 2, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 84 times and threw an average of 5.3 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 1 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 2 against IND: 80 of 80 snaps, 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 56 of 61 snaps, 16 of 28 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 15 yards, 14.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Jalen Hurts over Brock Purdy.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Jared Goff.
• Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Brock Purdy over Patrick Mahomes.
• Start Patrick Mahomes over Dak Prescott.
• Start Patrick Mahomes over Drake Maye.