Start Tyjae Spears or Emmett Johnson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tyjae Spears over Emmett Johnson
Wrong: 4.4 to 8.8
- Books imply
- 2.1
- fantasy pts
- NYJ D vs RB
- 8.8
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 50%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.4
- PPR pts
- DEN D vs RB
- 42.9
- 2nd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 36%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 8%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tyjae Spears over Emmett Johnson in Week 1.
Tyjae Spears is priced by the books at 2.1 projected points. Emmett Johnson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tyjae Spears at ADP 133 and Emmett Johnson at 158. Market coverage on Tyjae Spears is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.1 fantasy points for Tyjae Spears, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Emmett Johnson in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tyjae Spears and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 8.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 47 yards and no touchdowns against NYJ and caught passes for 11 more yards.
Emmett Johnson and KC host DEN.
DEN allowed 42.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 197 yards and a touchdown against DEN and caught passes for 62 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Emmett Johnson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tyjae Spears was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Emmett Johnson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.
He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.
He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tyjae Spears, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 carries for 18 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 9 yards, 9.7 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 39 of 74 snaps, 6 carries for 2 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards, 1.1 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 34 of 73 snaps, 13 carries for 52 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tyjae Spears scored 4.4 PPR points and Emmett Johnson scored 8.8.
The call was wrong: Emmett Johnson outscored Tyjae Spears by 4.4.
Tyjae Spears finished 2.3 points above the 2.1 the props implied.
Tyjae Spears, Week 1 against NYJ: 25 of 50 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears finished as the week's RB45 in PPR scoring.
Emmett Johnson, Week 1 against DEN: 25 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 24 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 44 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Emmett Johnson finished as the week's RB32 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB30 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 5-8
- Overall rank
- 58
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB59 · KC · bye 5
- Overall rank
- 240
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 13
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board182
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 13
- Board size244 draftable players
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