Start Tyler Allgeier or Emmett Johnson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Emmett Johnson over Tyler Allgeier
Wrong: 8.8 to 9.0
- DEN D vs RB
- 42.9
- 2nd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 36%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 8%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.3
- fantasy pts
- LAC D vs RB
- 22.0
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 59%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 5%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Emmett Johnson over Tyler Allgeier in Week 1.
Tyler Allgeier is priced by the books at 2.3 projected points and Emmett Johnson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Emmett Johnson at ADP 160 and Tyler Allgeier at 169.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Emmett Johnson in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Tyler Allgeier, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Emmett Johnson and KC host DEN.
DEN allowed 42.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 197 yards and a touchdown against DEN and caught passes for 62 more yards.
Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit LAC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
LAC allowed 22.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 102 yards and a touchdown against LAC and caught passes for 18 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Emmett Johnson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Emmett Johnson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Tyler Allgeier was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.
He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.
He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 7 carries for 16 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 3 yards, 2.9 PPR points.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 19 of 53 snaps, 10 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 31 of 77 snaps, 16 carries for 79 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -6 yards, 8.3 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Emmett Johnson scored 8.8 PPR points and Tyler Allgeier scored 9.0.
The call was wrong: Tyler Allgeier outscored Emmett Johnson by 0.2.
Emmett Johnson, Week 1 against DEN: 25 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 24 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 44 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Emmett Johnson finished as the week's RB32 in PPR scoring.
Tyler Allgeier finished 6.7 points above the 2.3 the props implied.
Tyler Allgeier, Week 1 against LAC: 44 of 75 snaps, 17 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards, 9.0 PPR points.
Tyler Allgeier finished as the week's RB29 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB38 · ARI · bye 14
2025 vs rush yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 129
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
Ranked behind
RB59 · KC · bye 5
- Overall rank
- 240
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 13
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board111
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 9 and tier 13
- Board size244 draftable players
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