Start Garrett Wilson or Nico Collins? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Nico Collins over Garrett Wilson
Right: 21.2 to 13.9
- BUF D vs WR
- 40.0
- 8th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 72%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 27%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 21.2
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 13.5
- fantasy pts
- TEN D vs WR
- 28.6
- 16th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 75%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 30%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 13.9
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Nico Collins over Garrett Wilson in Week 1.
Garrett Wilson is priced by the books at 13.5 projected points and Nico Collins is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Nico Collins at ADP 20 and Garrett Wilson at 26.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Nico Collins in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 13.5 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Nico Collins and HOU host BUF.
BUF allowed 40.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 193 yards and a touchdown against BUF.
Garrett Wilson and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 28.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.
By points allowed to the position, Nico Collins has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Nico Collins was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Garrett Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.
He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.
He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Nico Collins, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 57 yards, 8.7 PPR points.
Nico Collins, Week 16 of 2025 against LV: 52 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 59 yards, 9.9 PPR points.
Nico Collins, Week 15 of 2025 against ARI: 49 of 67 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.
He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.
He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Nico Collins scored 21.2 PPR points and Garrett Wilson scored 13.9.
The call was right: Nico Collins outscored Garrett Wilson by 7.3.
Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.2 PPR points.
Nico Collins finished as the week's WR8 in PPR scoring.
Garrett Wilson finished 0.4 points above the 13.5 the props implied.
Garrett Wilson, Week 1 against TEN: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 13.9 PPR points.
Garrett Wilson finished as the week's WR23 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR23 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 4-3
- Overall rank
- 86
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR26 · HOU · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 7-8
- Overall rank
- 91
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board5
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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