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Start Geno Smith or Jordan Love? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jordan Love over Geno Smith

Books imply
16.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2
Books imply
16.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Jordan Love over Geno Smith in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jordan Love at 16.9 points and Geno Smith at 16.7, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Jordan Love, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jordan Love at 229.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 7.5 rushing yards, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (18, 19, 17 and 17 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Geno Smith at 222.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17 and 14 books).

That puts Jordan Love 0.1 points ahead of Geno Smith on the books.

Injury status

Jordan Love is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jordan Love played 100 percent of GB snaps, dropped back 78 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.

Jordan Love, Week 1 against MIN: 68 of 68 snaps, 21 of 42 passes for 387 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jordan Love, Week 2 against NYJ: 59 of 59 snaps, 16 of 29 passes for 145 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 2, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and threw an average of 6.6 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jordan Love played 15 games for GB and scored 241.1 PPR points, 16.1 a game, finishing QB15.

He completed 291 of 439 passes for 3381 yards, 23 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 47 times for 199 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jordan Love, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 26 of 72 snaps, 8 of 13 passes for 77 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith, Week 17 of 2025 against NYG: 53 of 59 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards, 9.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB22 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs pass yds line 5-10

Overall rank
121
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB27 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 6-9

Overall rank
132
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board11
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board