Start Terrance Ferguson or Isaiah Likely? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Isaiah Likely over Terrance Ferguson in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Isaiah Likely at 9.7 points and Terrance Ferguson at 9.3, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Isaiah Likely, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Isaiah Likely at 40.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Terrance Ferguson a 23% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).

That puts Isaiah Likely 0.3 points ahead of Terrance Ferguson on the books.

Injury status

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Terrance Ferguson is listed as questionable.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Adonai Mitchell over Isaiah Likely.
• Start Isaiah Likely over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Davante Adams over Isaiah Likely.
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Devaughn Vele.