Jake Ferguson or Kyle Pitts Sr.: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Jake Ferguson at 8.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 17 books. That is the 126th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Kyle Pitts Sr. at 7.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 127th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jake Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 147.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Kyle Pitts Sr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 115th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 131.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 76 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 1 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 5 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 3.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against NYG he caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Kyle Pitts Sr. has been on the field for 63 percent of ATL snaps and drawn 5 percent of the targets.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 6 third down targets and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 1 target have averaged 26.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against PIT he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 10.5 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Jake Ferguson 11.1, 1.3 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 that year and Kyle Pitts Sr. TE2.

Kyle Pitts Sr. had 16 more targets than Jake Ferguson, 118 to 102.

Kyle Pitts Sr. had 328 more receiving yards than Jake Ferguson, 928 to 600.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger snap share, 76 percent against 63 percent.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger target share, 7 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14 and Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.0 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.