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Start Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs LAC

Books imply
24.7
fantasy pts
LAC D vs QB
18.9
12th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2
Books imply
20.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Josh Allen at 24.7 points and Jalen Hurts at 20.2, a gap of 4.5. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 24.7 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Josh Allen at 238.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 33.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 14 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 20.2 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jalen Hurts at 217.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 24.5 rushing yards, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 14 and 15 books).

That puts Josh Allen 4.5 points ahead of Jalen Hurts on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host LAC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LAC allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 2 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 265 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against LAC, with 0.5 interceptions.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Jalen Hurts is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 10.3 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.

Through Week 2, Jalen Hurts played 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 48 yards.

Jalen Hurts, Week 2 against TEN: 76 of 76 snaps, 26 of 37 passes for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 5 carries for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB1 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 8-9

Overall rank
22
Draft pick
ADP 2
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB4 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 7-9

Overall rank
54
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board32
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 4
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board