Start Kyler Murray or Jared Goff? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Kyler Murray over Jared Goff in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Kyler Murray at 17.4 points and Jared Goff at 17.2, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.4 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Kyler Murray at 209.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 20.5 rushing yards, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 15 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jared Goff at 258.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 5% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17 and 15 books).

That puts Kyler Murray 0.2 points ahead of Jared Goff on the books.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 1, Kyler Murray played 17 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 7 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Through Week 2, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 85 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Kyler Murray over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Kyler Murray.
• Start Jared Goff over Bo Nix.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff.
• Start Bryce Young over Jared Goff.