Start Joe Burrow or Jayden Daniels? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Joe Burrow over Jayden Daniels
- TB D vs QB
- 15.2
- 13th fewest to QBs (2026)
- PHI D vs QB
- 17.7
- 14th most to QBs (2026)
Our Week 1 call
Start Joe Burrow over Jayden Daniels in Week 1.
Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Jayden Daniels at 74.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Joe Burrow in Week 1.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jayden Daniels in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Joe Burrow and CIN host TB.
TB allowed 15.2 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 254 yards and a touchdown against TB, with an interception.
Jayden Daniels and WAS visit PHI.
PHI allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 164 yards and 2 touchdowns against PHI, with no interceptions.
By points allowed to the position, Jayden Daniels has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Joe Burrow was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jayden Daniels was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.
He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Joe Burrow, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 29 of 39 passes for 236 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards, 22.1 PPR points.
Joe Burrow, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 64 of 77 snaps, 24 of 31 passes for 305 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 20.4 PPR points.
Joe Burrow, Week 16 of 2025 against MIA: 55 of 61 snaps, 25 of 32 passes for 309 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards, 29.0 PPR points.
In 2025, Jayden Daniels played 7 games for WAS and scored 117.3 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB34.
He completed 114 of 188 passes for 1262 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 58 times for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB4 · CIN · bye 6
2025 vs pass yds line 2-6
- Overall rank
- 18
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB16 · WAS · bye 7
2025 vs pass yds line 3-4
- Overall rank
- 39
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board21
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 1
- Board size244 draftable players
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