Should I start Joe Burrow or Jayden Daniels in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Joe Burrow's market-based projection is 21.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 8th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Jayden Daniels's market-based projection is 19.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 9th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 49th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jayden Daniels, and the board ranks him 66th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 289 times and thrown 7.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 51 of 289 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 5 against MIA he completed 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 7 against BAL he completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against TEN he completed 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Jayden Daniels has been on the field for 90 percent of WAS snaps, dropped back 176 times and thrown 8.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 25 of 176 dropbacks and scrambled 21 times.

In Week 5 against NYG he completed 17 of 25 passes for 199 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 8 times for 104 yards.

In Week 6 against SF he completed 29 of 38 passes for 300 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 11 yards.

In Week 8 against PHI he completed 16 of 29 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 23 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jayden Daniels played 7 games and scored 117.3 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB34.

He threw for 1262 yards on 188 attempts with 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 26.9 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Joe Burrow was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Joe Burrow scored 17.4 PPR points a game and Jayden Daniels 16.8, 0.7 a game between them.

Joe Burrow finished QB29 that year and Jayden Daniels QB34.

Joe Burrow had 71 more pass attempts than Jayden Daniels, 259 to 188.

Joe Burrow had 547 more passing yards than Jayden Daniels, 1809 to 1262.

This season Joe Burrow holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 90 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Joe Burrow is off in Week 6 and Jayden Daniels in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.