Start Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Jayden Daniels in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Trevor Lawrence at 9.3 points and Jayden Daniels at 7.9, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 95 and Jayden Daniels at 83. Market coverage on Trevor Lawrence is 45 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 7.9 fantasy points for Jayden Daniels, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Trevor Lawrence 1.4 points ahead of Jayden Daniels on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Jayden Daniels and WAS visit PHI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

PHI allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 164 yards and 2 touchdowns against PHI, with no interceptions.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 25.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 4 touchdowns against CLE, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jayden Daniels was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Trevor Lawrence was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jayden Daniels played 7 games for WAS and scored 117.3 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB34.

He completed 114 of 188 passes for 1262 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 58 times for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 37 passes for 263 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 8 carries for 26 yards, 24.1 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 70 of 70 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 279 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 20 yards, 31.2 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Trevor Lawrence scored 26.1 PPR points and Jayden Daniels scored 17.7.

The call was right: Trevor Lawrence outscored Jayden Daniels by 8.4.

Trevor Lawrence finished 16.8 points above the 9.3 the props implied.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards, 26.1 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence finished as the week's QB5 in PPR scoring.

Jayden Daniels finished 9.7 points above the 7.9 the props implied.

Jayden Daniels, Week 1 against PHI: 70 of 70 snaps, 18 of 34 passes for 164 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 31 yards, 17.7 PPR points.

Jayden Daniels finished as the week's QB14 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Jayden Daniels.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jayden Daniels.
• Start Dak Prescott over Jayden Daniels.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
• Start Brock Purdy over Trevor Lawrence.
• Start Caleb Williams over Trevor Lawrence.