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Start Jayden Reed or Michael Wilson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Michael Wilson over Jayden Reed

Right: 10.6 to 5.0
Start

Michael Wilson

WR · ARI · at LAC

LAC D vs WR
30.4
14th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
85%
Week 1
Target share
19%
Week 1
Scored
10.6
PPR pts
Sit

Jayden Reed

WR · GB · at MIN

Books imply
1.8
fantasy pts
MIN D vs WR
55.2
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
57%
Week 1
Target share
18%
Week 1
Scored
5.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Michael Wilson over Jayden Reed in Week 1.

Jayden Reed is priced by the books at 1.8 projected points and Michael Wilson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Michael Wilson at ADP 76 and Jayden Reed at 85.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Michael Wilson in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 1.8 fantasy points for Jayden Reed, with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Michael Wilson and ARI visit LAC.

LAC allowed 30.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and no touchdowns against LAC.

Jayden Reed and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Jayden Reed has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jayden Reed was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson, Week 18 of 2025 against LAR: 8 targets and 5 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.9 PPR points.

Michael Wilson, Week 17 of 2025 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.9 PPR points.

Michael Wilson, Week 16 of 2025 against ATL: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 52 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Jayden Reed played 7 games for GB and scored 48.5 PPR points, 6.9 a game, finishing WR114.

He caught 19 of 22 targets for 207 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets and 122 air yards.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jayden Reed, Week 18 of 2025 against MIN: 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jayden Reed, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 24 of 47 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 8.1 PPR points.

Jayden Reed, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 46 of 72 snaps, 1 carry for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.1 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Michael Wilson scored 10.6 PPR points and Jayden Reed scored 5.0.

The call was right: Michael Wilson outscored Jayden Reed by 5.6.

Michael Wilson, Week 1 against LAC: 64 of 75 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards, 10.6 PPR points.

Michael Wilson finished as the week's WR31 in PPR scoring.

Jayden Reed finished 3.2 points above the 1.8 the props implied.

Jayden Reed, Week 1 against MIN: 39 of 68 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards, 5.0 PPR points.

Jayden Reed finished as the week's WR72 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR34 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs anytime td line 1-6

Overall rank
101
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR75 · ARI · bye 14

2025 vs catches line 8-9

Overall rank
196
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board95
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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