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Start Jaylen Warren or Rico Dowdle? Week 1

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Jaylen Warren over Rico Dowdle

Final: 10.3 to 4.1
Start

Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · vs ATL · final

ATL D vs RB
14.4
9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
37%
Week 1
Target share
16%
Week 1
Scored
10.3
PPR pts
Sit

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · vs ATL · final

ATL D vs RB
14.4
9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
58%
Week 1
Target share
14%
Week 1
Scored
4.1
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Jaylen Warren over Rico Dowdle in Week 1.

Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Jaylen Warren at ADP 66 and Rico Dowdle at 80.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jaylen Warren in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Rico Dowdle in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Jaylen Warren and PIT host ATL.

ATL allowed 14.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 61 yards and no touchdowns against ATL and caught passes for 33 more yards.

Rico Dowdle and PIT host ATL.

ATL allowed 14.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 61 yards and no touchdowns against ATL and caught passes for 33 more yards.

Injury status

Jaylen Warren was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Rico Dowdle was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jaylen Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 14 carries for 66 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 14.9 PPR points.

Jaylen Warren, Week 17 of 2025 against CLE: 21 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 64 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

Jaylen Warren, Week 16 of 2025 against DET: 36 of 74 snaps, 14 carries for 143 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 27 of 51 snaps, 7 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Rico Dowdle, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 34 of 53 snaps, 12 carries for 59 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 4 yards, 9.3 PPR points.

Rico Dowdle, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 31 of 54 snaps, 9 carries for 29 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 14 yards, 8.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB20 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 5-11

Overall rank
40
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

RB30 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 6-11

Overall rank
88
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board48
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 8
  • Board size242 draftable players

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