Jaylen Warren or Rico Dowdle: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Jaylen Warren at 12.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 59th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Rico Dowdle at 9.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 97th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jaylen Warren: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 39th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 86.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Rico Dowdle: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 96.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Jaylen Warren has been on the field for 37 percent of PIT snaps, taken 56 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 10 third down targets and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against ATL he carried 10 times for 46 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 58 percent of PIT snaps, taken 44 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 10 third down targets and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against ATL he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylen Warren played 16 games and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He carried 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 more yards.

That came to 13.2 carries a game at 4.5 yards a carry and 2.5 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jaylen Warren scored 13.6 PPR points a game and Rico Dowdle 12.7, 0.8 a game between them.

Jaylen Warren finished RB17 that year and Rico Dowdle RB18.

Rico Dowdle had 25 more carries than Jaylen Warren, 236 to 211.

Jaylen Warren had 1 more catches than Rico Dowdle, 40 to 39.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger snap share, 58 percent against 37 percent.

This season Jaylen Warren holds the bigger share of the carries, 56 percent against 44 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 9, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

3.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.