Start Keaton Mitchell or Jonah Coleman? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Keaton Mitchell over Jonah Coleman
Right: 0.9 to 0.0
- Books imply
- 2.8
- fantasy pts
- ARI D vs RB
- 9.2
- 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 31%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.9
- PPR pts

- KC D vs RB
- 11.7
- 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 6%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Keaton Mitchell over Jonah Coleman in Week 1.
Keaton Mitchell is priced by the books at 2.8 projected points. Jonah Coleman has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Keaton Mitchell at ADP 166 and Jonah Coleman at 163. Market coverage on Keaton Mitchell is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jonah Coleman in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 2.8 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Jonah Coleman and DEN visit KC.
KC allowed 11.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 54 yards and no touchdowns against KC and caught passes for 23 more yards.
Keaton Mitchell and LAC host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
ARI allowed 9.2 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 52 yards and a touchdown against ARI and caught passes for 0 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Jonah Coleman has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Jonah Coleman was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Keaton Mitchell was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.
He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.
He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 2 carries for 2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.2 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 14 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 5.8 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 19 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Keaton Mitchell scored 0.9 PPR points and Jonah Coleman scored 0.0.
The call was right: Keaton Mitchell outscored Jonah Coleman by 0.9.
Keaton Mitchell finished 1.9 points below the 2.8 the props implied.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell finished as the week's RB69 in PPR scoring.
Jonah Coleman, Week 1 against KC: 3 of 51 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB44 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 1-12
- Overall rank
- 169
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB55 · DEN · bye 10
- Overall rank
- 221
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board52
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 12
- Board size244 draftable players
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