Start Alvin Kamara or Keaton Mitchell? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Alvin Kamara over Keaton Mitchell
Wrong: 0.0 to 0.9
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.8
- fantasy pts
- ARI D vs RB
- 9.2
- 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 31%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.9
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Alvin Kamara over Keaton Mitchell in Week 1.
Keaton Mitchell is priced by the books at 2.8 projected points and Alvin Kamara is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Alvin Kamara at ADP 159 and Keaton Mitchell at 166.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Alvin Kamara in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 2.8 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Alvin Kamara and NO visit DET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
Keaton Mitchell and LAC host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
ARI allowed 9.2 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 52 yards and a touchdown against ARI and caught passes for 0 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Alvin Kamara was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Keaton Mitchell was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.
He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.
He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 2 carries for 2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.2 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 14 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 5.8 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 19 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Alvin Kamara scored 0.0 PPR points and Keaton Mitchell scored 0.9.
The call was wrong: Keaton Mitchell outscored Alvin Kamara by 0.9.
Keaton Mitchell finished 1.9 points below the 2.8 the props implied.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell finished as the week's RB69 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB29 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 2-9
- Overall rank
- 57
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB44 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 1-12
- Overall rank
- 168
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board111
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 10
- Board size244 draftable players
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