Start Braelon Allen or Keaton Mitchell? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Keaton Mitchell over Braelon Allen
Wrong: 0.9 to 4.0
- ARI D vs RB
- 9.2
- 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 31%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.9
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 1.9
- fantasy pts
- TEN D vs RB
- 23.8
- 15th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 40%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Keaton Mitchell over Braelon Allen in Week 1.
Braelon Allen is priced by the books at 1.9 projected points and Keaton Mitchell is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Keaton Mitchell at ADP 185 and Braelon Allen at 191.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Keaton Mitchell in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 1.9 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Keaton Mitchell and LAC host ARI.
ARI allowed 9.2 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 52 yards and a touchdown against ARI and caught passes for 0 more yards.
Braelon Allen and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Keaton Mitchell was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.
He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.
He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 2 carries for 2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.2 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 14 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 5.8 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 19 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.
In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.
He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.
He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Keaton Mitchell scored 0.9 PPR points and Braelon Allen scored 4.0.
The call was wrong: Braelon Allen outscored Keaton Mitchell by 3.1.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell finished as the week's RB69 in PPR scoring.
Braelon Allen finished 2.1 points above the 1.9 the props implied.
Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4.0 PPR points.
Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB50 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB39 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 156
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB44 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 1-12
- Overall rank
- 169
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board13
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 10
- Board size244 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant