Start Jordan Love or Kyler Murray? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Kyler Murray over Jordan Love in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Kyler Murray at 8.0 points and Jordan Love at 7.2, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Kyler Murray at ADP 128 and Jordan Love at 135. Market coverage on Kyler Murray is 25 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 25 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 7.2 fantasy points for Jordan Love, with 25 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Kyler Murray 0.8 points ahead of Jordan Love on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Kyler Murray and MIN host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 19.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 151 yards and 3 touchdowns against GB, with an interception.

Jordan Love and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIN allowed 20.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 387 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Jordan Love has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kyler Murray was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jordan Love was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jordan Love played 15 games for GB and scored 241.1 PPR points, 16.1 a game, finishing QB15.

He completed 291 of 439 passes for 3381 yards, 23 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 47 times for 199 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jordan Love, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 26 of 72 snaps, 8 of 13 passes for 77 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Jordan Love, Week 15 of 2025 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards, 15.9 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Kyler Murray scored 0.6 PPR points and Jordan Love scored 20.5.

The call was wrong: Jordan Love outscored Kyler Murray by 19.9.

Kyler Murray finished 7.4 points below the 8.0 the props implied.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards, 0.6 PPR points.

Kyler Murray finished as the week's QB35 in PPR scoring.

Jordan Love finished 13.3 points above the 7.2 the props implied.

Jordan Love, Week 1 against MIN: 68 of 68 snaps, 21 of 42 passes for 387 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards, 20.5 PPR points.

Jordan Love finished as the week's QB11 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Baker Mayfield over Kyler Murray.
• Start Bo Nix over Kyler Murray.
• Start Jaxson Dart over Kyler Murray.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Jordan Love.
• Start Jordan Love over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Daniel Jones over Jordan Love.