Start Bo Nix or Kyler Murray? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Bo Nix over Kyler Murray
- KC D vs QB
- 6.4
- fewest to QBs (2026)
- GB D vs QB
- 19.8
- 12th most to QBs (2026)
Our Week 1 call
Start Bo Nix over Kyler Murray in Week 1.
Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 112 and Kyler Murray at 132.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Bo Nix in Week 1.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Kyler Murray in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Bo Nix and DEN visit KC.
KC allowed 6.4 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 131 yards and a touchdown against KC, with an interception.
Kyler Murray and MIN host GB.
GB allowed 19.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 151 yards and 3 touchdowns against GB, with an interception.
By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Bo Nix was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Kyler Murray was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.
He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.
Bo Nix, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 72 of 72 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 9 carries for 42 yards, 20.5 PPR points.
Bo Nix, Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 66 of 66 snaps, 28 of 47 passes for 352 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 11 yards, 16.2 PPR points.
In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.
He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB13 · DEN · bye 10
2025 vs pass yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 32
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB28 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs pass yds line 0-5
- Overall rank
- 185
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board153
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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