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Start Jordan Love or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jordan Love over Michael Penix Jr.

Books imply
12.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2
Books imply
10.5
fantasy pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Jordan Love over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jordan Love at 12.3 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 10.5, a gap of 1.8. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 12.3 fantasy points for Jordan Love, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jordan Love at 228.5 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns and 7.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (18, 19, 17 and 18 books).

Player prop markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Michael Penix Jr. at 205.5 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns and 4.5 rushing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (17, 18, 15 and 18 books).

That puts Jordan Love 1.8 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the books.

Injury status

Jordan Love is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jordan Love played 100 percent of GB snaps, dropped back 78 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.

Jordan Love, Week 1 against MIN: 68 of 68 snaps, 21 of 42 passes for 387 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jordan Love, Week 2 against NYJ: 59 of 59 snaps, 16 of 29 passes for 145 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jordan Love played 15 games for GB and scored 241.1 PPR points, 16.1 a game, finishing QB15.

He completed 291 of 439 passes for 3381 yards, 23 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 47 times for 199 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jordan Love, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 26 of 72 snaps, 8 of 13 passes for 77 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB27 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 6-9

Overall rank
132
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB31 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 4-5

Overall rank
146
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board14
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 7
  • Board size227 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board