Start Michael Penix Jr. or Jameis Winston? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Jameis Winston over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jameis Winston at 10.6 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 10.4, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 10.6 fantasy points for Jameis Winston, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jameis Winston at 204.5 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns and 5.5 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 10.4 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Michael Penix Jr. at 205.5 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns and 4.5 rushing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (17, 18, 15 and 18 books).

That puts Jameis Winston 0.2 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the books.

Injury status

Jameis Winston is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jameis Winston played 88 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 29 times and threw an average of 10.9 air yards per attempt.

Jameis Winston, Week 2 against LAR: 51 of 58 snaps, 11 of 27 passes for 111 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jameis Winston played 3 games for NYG and scored 45.3 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing QB46.

He completed 37 of 66 passes for 567 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and ran 7 times for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jameis Winston, Week 15 of 2025 against WAS: 2 of 68 snaps, 0 of 1 pass for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Aaron Rodgers over Jameis Winston.
• Start Jameis Winston over Cam Ward.
• Start Daniel Jones over Jameis Winston.
• Start Cam Ward over Michael Penix Jr..
• Start Jordan Love over Michael Penix Jr..
• Start Marcus Mariota over Michael Penix Jr..