Start Michael Penix Jr. or Cam Ward? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Cam Ward over Michael Penix Jr.
- Books imply
- 13.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 10.4
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Cam Ward over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Cam Ward at 13.3 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 10.4, a gap of 2.9. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 13.3 fantasy points for Cam Ward, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The books have Cam Ward at 189.5 passing yards and 11.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (12, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 10.4 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The books have Michael Penix Jr. at 205.5 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns and 4.5 rushing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (17, 18, 15 and 18 books).
That puts Cam Ward 2.9 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the books.
Injury status
Cam Ward is not on the injury report.
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Cam Ward played 100 percent of TEN snaps, dropped back 63 times and threw an average of 6.3 air yards per attempt.
Cam Ward, Week 1 against NYJ: 50 of 50 snaps, 19 of 32 passes for 140 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 21 yards.
Cam Ward, Week 2 against PHI: 53 of 53 snaps, 13 of 20 passes for 183 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.
He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Cam Ward, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 of 3 passes for 52 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 9.2 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB31 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 4-5
- Overall rank
- 146
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
Ranked behind
QB32 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs pass yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 147
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board1
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 7
- Board size227 draftable players
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