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Start Justin Herbert or Josh Allen? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Josh Allen over Justin Herbert

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs DET

Books imply
24.8
fantasy pts
DET D vs QB
25.2
6th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs LV

Books imply
18.4
fantasy pts
LV D vs QB
17.7
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Josh Allen over Justin Herbert in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Josh Allen at 24.8 points and Justin Herbert at 18.4, a gap of 6.4. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 19 and Justin Herbert at 38.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 24.8 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Josh Allen 6.4 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host DET on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

DET allowed 25.2 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 410 yards and 3 touchdowns against DET, with 2 interceptions.

Justin Herbert and LAC host LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and no touchdowns against LV, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Josh Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 32 times and threw an average of 13.2 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Through Week 1, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 35 times and threw an average of 10.1 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Josh Allen, Week 17 of 2025 against PHI: 76 of 76 snaps, 23 of 35 passes for 262 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 27 yards, 23.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 236 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 37 yards, 16.1 PPR points.

Justin Herbert, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 300 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 42 yards, 30.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB26 · LAC · bye 7

2025 vs pass yds line 6-10

Overall rank
74
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

QB29 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 8-9

Overall rank
189
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board115
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 7
  • Board size244 draftable players

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