Start Juwan Johnson or T.J. Hockenson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Juwan Johnson over T.J. Hockenson
Right: 14.4 to 13.6- Books imply
- 7.9
- fantasy pts
- DET D vs TE
- 27.7
- 2nd most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 84%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 13%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 14.4
- PPR pts
- GB D vs TE
- 17.8
- 8th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 66%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 13.6
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Juwan Johnson over T.J. Hockenson in Week 1.
Juwan Johnson is priced by the books at 7.9 projected points. T.J. Hockenson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Juwan Johnson at ADP 170 and T.J. Hockenson at 186. Market coverage on Juwan Johnson is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 7.9 fantasy points for Juwan Johnson, with 40 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for T.J. Hockenson in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Juwan Johnson and NO visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
DET allowed 27.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns against DET.
T.J. Hockenson and MIN host GB.
GB allowed 17.8 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 58 yards and a touchdown against GB.
By points allowed to the position, Juwan Johnson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Juwan Johnson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
T.J. Hockenson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Juwan Johnson played 17 games for NO and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.
He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 527 air yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Juwan Johnson, Week 18 of 2025 against ATL: 5 targets and 3 catches for 61 yards, 7.1 PPR points.
Juwan Johnson, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 39 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 95 yards, 13.5 PPR points.
Juwan Johnson, Week 16 of 2025 against NYJ: 51 of 78 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 89 yards, 16.9 PPR points.
In 2025, T.J. Hockenson played 15 games for MIN and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.
He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 224 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 46 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.2 PPR points.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 44 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 66 yards, 10.6 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Juwan Johnson scored 14.4 PPR points and T.J. Hockenson scored 13.6.
The call was right: Juwan Johnson outscored T.J. Hockenson by 0.8.
Juwan Johnson finished 6.5 points above the 7.9 the props implied.
Juwan Johnson, Week 1 against DET: 76 of 90 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.4 PPR points.
Juwan Johnson finished as the week's TE7 in PPR scoring.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 1 against GB: 43 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.6 PPR points.
T.J. Hockenson finished as the week's TE9 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
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