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Start Keaton Mitchell or Mike Washington Jr.? Week 1

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Mike Washington Jr. over Keaton Mitchell

Right: 4.1 to 0.9
Start

Mike Washington Jr.

RB · LV · vs MIA · final

MIA D vs RB
36.9
4th most to RBs (2026)
Scored
4.1
PPR pts
Sit

Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · vs ARI · final

Books implied
1.9
pre-game
ARI D vs RB
9.2
3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
31%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
0.9
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Mike Washington Jr. over Keaton Mitchell in Week 1.

Keaton Mitchell is priced by the books at 1.9 projected points and Mike Washington Jr. is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Mike Washington Jr. at ADP 168 and Keaton Mitchell at 171.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Mike Washington Jr. in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 1.9 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Mike Washington Jr. and LV host MIA.

MIA allowed 36.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 144 yards and no touchdowns against MIA and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 9.2 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 52 yards and a touchdown against ARI and caught passes for 0 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Mike Washington Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Mike Washington Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Keaton Mitchell was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 2 carries for 2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.2 PPR points.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 14 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 5.8 PPR points.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 19 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Mike Washington Jr. scored 4.1 PPR points and Keaton Mitchell scored 0.9.

The call was right: Mike Washington Jr. outscored Keaton Mitchell by 3.2.

Mike Washington Jr., Week 1 against MIA: 13 of 68 snaps, 7 carries for 41 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Mike Washington Jr. finished as the week's RB47 in PPR scoring.

Keaton Mitchell finished 1.0 points below the 1.9 the props implied.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.

Keaton Mitchell finished as the week's RB69 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB42 · LAC · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 1-12

Overall rank
142
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

Ranked behind

RB54 · LV · bye 13

Overall rank
209
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
14

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board67
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 9 and tier 14
  • Board size242 draftable players

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