Start Quentin Johnston or Khalil Shakir? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Quentin Johnston over Khalil Shakir
Wrong: 3.7 to 9.0
- Books imply
- 7.4
- fantasy pts
- ARI D vs WR
- 27.9
- 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 78%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.7
- PPR pts

- HOU D vs WR
- 41.5
- 6th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 53%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Quentin Johnston over Khalil Shakir in Week 1.
Quentin Johnston is priced by the books at 7.4 projected points. Khalil Shakir has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Quentin Johnston at ADP 91 and Khalil Shakir at 101. Market coverage on Quentin Johnston is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 7.4 fantasy points for Quentin Johnston, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Khalil Shakir in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Quentin Johnston and LAC host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
ARI allowed 27.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 119 yards and a touchdown against ARI.
Khalil Shakir and BUF visit HOU.
HOU allowed 41.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 185 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU.
By points allowed to the position, Khalil Shakir has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Quentin Johnston was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Khalil Shakir was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Quentin Johnston played 14 games for LAC and scored 171.2 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR34.
He caught 51 of 85 targets for 735 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 514 air yards.
He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Quentin Johnston, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 47 of 63 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 98 yards, 14.8 PPR points.
Quentin Johnston, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 37 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Khalil Shakir played 16 games for BUF and scored 166.4 PPR points, 10.4 a game, finishing WR36.
He caught 72 of 95 targets for 719 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 178 air yards.
He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Khalil Shakir, Week 17 of 2025 against PHI: 59 of 76 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 35 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Khalil Shakir, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 24 of 50 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 34 yards, 7.4 PPR points.
Khalil Shakir, Week 15 of 2025 against NE: 48 of 70 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 65 yards, 11.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Quentin Johnston scored 3.7 PPR points and Khalil Shakir scored 9.0.
The call was wrong: Khalil Shakir outscored Quentin Johnston by 5.3.
Quentin Johnston finished 3.7 points below the 7.4 the props implied.
Quentin Johnston, Week 1 against ARI: 43 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
Quentin Johnston finished as the week's WR82 in PPR scoring.
Khalil Shakir, Week 1 against HOU: 31 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 50 yards, 9.0 PPR points.
Khalil Shakir finished as the week's WR41 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR59 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 162
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
Ranked behind
WR76 · BUF · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 9-7
- Overall rank
- 206
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board44
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 9 and tier 11
- Board size244 draftable players
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