Start MarShawn Lloyd or Kyle Monangai? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start MarShawn Lloyd over Kyle Monangai
Wrong: 3.7 to 20.4
- MIN D vs RB
- 6.6
- fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 44%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 3%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.7
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.2
- fantasy pts
- CAR D vs RB
- 52.8
- most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 43%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 8%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 20.4
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start MarShawn Lloyd over Kyle Monangai in Week 1.
Kyle Monangai is priced by the books at 2.2 projected points and MarShawn Lloyd is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take MarShawn Lloyd at ADP 113 and Kyle Monangai at 106.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.2 fantasy points for Kyle Monangai, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for MarShawn Lloyd in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Kyle Monangai and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CAR allowed 52.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.
Running backs ran for 224 yards and 4 touchdowns against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.
MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit MIN.
MIN allowed 6.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 66 yards and no touchdowns against MIN and caught passes for 0 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Kyle Monangai has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Kyle Monangai was not on the injury report when the call was made.
MarShawn Lloyd was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Kyle Monangai played 17 games for CHI and scored 146.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB30.
He ran 169 times for 783 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 18 of 30 targets for 164 yards.
He was on the field for 41 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Kyle Monangai, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 6 carries for 14 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards, 5.9 PPR points.
Kyle Monangai, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 27 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 38 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards, 7.7 PPR points.
Kyle Monangai, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 29 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 43 yards, 12.3 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
MarShawn Lloyd scored 3.7 PPR points and Kyle Monangai scored 20.4.
The call was wrong: Kyle Monangai outscored MarShawn Lloyd by 16.7.
MarShawn Lloyd, Week 1 against MIN: 30 of 68 snaps, 13 carries for 37 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
MarShawn Lloyd finished as the week's RB52 in PPR scoring.
Kyle Monangai finished 18.2 points above the 2.2 the props implied.
Kyle Monangai, Week 1 against CAR: 32 of 75 snaps, 10 carries for 100 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.4 PPR points.
Kyle Monangai finished as the week's RB11 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB16 · GB · bye 11
- Overall rank
- 38
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB20 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs anytime td line 5-12
- Overall rank
- 47
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board9
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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