Start MarShawn Lloyd or Tyjae Spears? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Tyjae Spears over MarShawn Lloyd
Right: 4.4 to 3.7
- Books implied
- 6.3
- pre-game
- NYJ D vs RB
- 8.8
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 50%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.4
- PPR pts
- MIN D vs RB
- 6.6
- fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 44%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 3%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.7
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tyjae Spears over MarShawn Lloyd in Week 1.
Tyjae Spears is priced by the books at 6.3 projected points. MarShawn Lloyd has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tyjae Spears at ADP 133 and MarShawn Lloyd at 118.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for MarShawn Lloyd in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Tyjae Spears, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit MIN.
MIN allowed 6.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 66 yards and no touchdowns against MIN and caught passes for 0 more yards.
Tyjae Spears and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 8.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 47 yards and no touchdowns against NYJ and caught passes for 11 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Tyjae Spears has the softer matchup.
Injury status
MarShawn Lloyd was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Tyjae Spears was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.
He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.
He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tyjae Spears, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 carries for 18 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 9 yards, 9.7 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 39 of 74 snaps, 6 carries for 2 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards, 1.1 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 34 of 73 snaps, 13 carries for 52 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tyjae Spears scored 4.4 PPR points and MarShawn Lloyd scored 3.7.
The call was right: Tyjae Spears outscored MarShawn Lloyd by 0.7.
Tyjae Spears finished 1.9 points below the 6.4 the props implied.
Tyjae Spears, Week 1 against NYJ: 25 of 50 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears finished as the week's RB45 in PPR scoring.
MarShawn Lloyd, Week 1 against MIN: 30 of 68 snaps, 13 carries for 37 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
MarShawn Lloyd finished as the week's RB52 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB25 · GB · bye 11
- Overall rank
- 67
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
Ranked behind
RB36 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 5-8
- Overall rank
- 123
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board56
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 8 and tier 9
- Board size242 draftable players
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