Start Tetairoa McMillan or Mike Evans? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Mike Evans in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tetairoa McMillan at 13.2 points and Mike Evans at 12.6, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 13.2 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Tetairoa McMillan at 61.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Mike Evans, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Mike Evans at 54.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 38% chance to score a touchdown (7, 5 and 14 books).

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 0.6 points ahead of Mike Evans on the books.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Mike Evans is listed as questionable with a hip injury.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Tetairoa McMillan played 81 percent of CAR snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Through Week 2, Mike Evans played 66 percent of SF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 29 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Evans, Week 1 against LAR: 49 of 65 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Evans, Week 2 against MIA: 28 of 52 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Mike Evans, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 50 of 67 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards, 5.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson.
• Start Tetairoa McMillan over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dalton Schultz over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Mike Evans.
• Start Mike Evans over Denzel Boston.
• Start Mike Evans over Devaughn Vele.