Start Tucker Kraft or Travis Kelce? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tucker Kraft over Travis Kelce
Wrong: 9.5 to 10.1
- Books imply
- 6.5
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs TE
- 16.5
- 10th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 66%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.5
- PPR pts

- DEN D vs TE
- 13.5
- 14th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 71%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 20%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.1
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tucker Kraft over Travis Kelce in Week 1.
Tucker Kraft is priced by the books at 6.5 projected points. Travis Kelce has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tucker Kraft at ADP 108 and Travis Kelce at 127. Market coverage on Tucker Kraft is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Tucker Kraft, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Travis Kelce in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tucker Kraft and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
MIN allowed 16.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 115 yards and no touchdowns against MIN.
Travis Kelce and KC host DEN.
DEN allowed 13.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 85 yards and no touchdowns against DEN.
By points allowed to the position, Tucker Kraft has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tucker Kraft was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Travis Kelce was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tucker Kraft played 8 games for GB and scored 117.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE24.
He caught 32 of 44 targets for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 145 air yards.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Travis Kelce played 17 games for KC and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.
He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 428 air yards.
He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Travis Kelce, Week 18 of 2025 against LV: 6 targets and 3 catches for 12 yards, 4.2 PPR points.
Travis Kelce, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 42 of 43 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards, 8.6 PPR points.
Travis Kelce, Week 16 of 2025 against TEN: 35 of 45 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tucker Kraft scored 9.5 PPR points and Travis Kelce scored 10.1.
The call was wrong: Travis Kelce outscored Tucker Kraft by 0.6.
Tucker Kraft finished 3.0 points above the 6.5 the props implied.
Tucker Kraft, Week 1 against MIN: 45 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 65 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Tucker Kraft finished as the week's TE18 in PPR scoring.
Travis Kelce, Week 1 against DEN: 49 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 71 yards, 10.1 PPR points.
Travis Kelce finished as the week's TE16 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE4 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs catches line 4-4
- Overall rank
- 88
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
TE8 · KC · bye 5
2025 vs rec yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 112
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board24
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 3
- Board size244 draftable players
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