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Trade Christian Watson for Saquon Barkley? Yes, Barkley is worth 10 more.

Yes on value. Saquon Barkley is worth 63 rest of season and Christian Watson 53, so the side getting Barkley gains 10. Watson rates 13.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Barkley 13.6 with 11. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; Barkley has 36 percent of PHI carries and 7 percent of its targets. Watson hosts DAL in Week 6 (11th most points allowed to WRs); Barkley hosts CAR in Week 6 (3rd most points allowed to RBs). Saquon Barkley is listed Out (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Saquon Barkley wins by 10.

Christian Watson 5363 Saquon Barkley

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Christian Watson

WR15GB

53

value, #37

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
11
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.713.913.0

Saquon Barkley

RB16PHIOut

63

value, #30

Pts/game
13.6
Games left
11
Bye
10
Saquon Barkley weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
15.513.63.9

Where the values come from

Watson is the 15th receiver on the chart and 37th overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 53.

Barkley is the 16th running back on the chart and 30th overall. His 13.6 a game is 5.7 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4 and 13.0 in Week 5, a median of 13.9 points a game, down 1.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4 and 3.9 in Week 5, a median of 13.6 points a game, down 11.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 109.4 PPR points in 5 games, 21.9 a game, 8.0 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR1 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Saquon Barkley has scored 23.0 PPR points in 4 games, 5.8 a game, 7.9 a game less than the 13.6 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 5.0 catches for 83 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against TB he had 3 targets on 68 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Saquon Barkley has averaged 9.0 carries for 46 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.0 catches for 2 yards a game on 38 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against LAR he had 2 carries and 1 target on 7 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Saquon Barkley has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.

DAL, Watson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 36.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 11th most to WRs of 32.

CAR, Barkley's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 28.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 3rd most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Barkley also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

Other trades for Christian Watson and Saquon Barkley

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Saquon Barkley?

    Yes on value: Saquon Barkley is worth 63 and Christian Watson 53, a gain of 10. If Christian Watson starts for you and Saquon Barkley would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Saquon Barkley?

    Saquon Barkley, 63 to 53. He rates 13.6 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 11 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number