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Trade J.K. Dobbins for Trevor Lawrence? Close to even, 15 to 8.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value J.K. Dobbins is 15 and Trevor Lawrence is 8, a 7 point edge to Dobbins that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Dobbins rates 9.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Lawrence 17.2 with 11. On usage, Dobbins has 53 percent of DEN carries and 3 percent of its targets; Lawrence has thrown 25.8 passes and run 2.3 times a game. Dobbins hosts SEA in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to RBs); Lawrence hosts HOU in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

J.K. Dobbins 158 Trevor Lawrence

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15

value, #67

Pts/game
9.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
J.K. Dobbins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.110.59.3

8

value, #72

Pts/game
17.2
Games left
11
Bye
7
Trevor Lawrence weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
17.218.417.2

Where the values come from

Dobbins is the 28th running back on the chart and 67th overall. His 9.3 a game is 1.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 15.

Lawrence is the 7th quarterback on the chart and 72nd overall. His 17.2 a game is 0.7 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 8.

The weekly market prices

The market priced J.K. Dobbins at 4.1 in Week 3, 10.5 in Week 4 and 9.3 in Week 5, a median of 9.3 points a game, up 5.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Trevor Lawrence at 17.2 in Week 3, 18.4 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

J.K. Dobbins has scored 36.1 PPR points in 5 games, 7.2 a game, 2.1 a game less than the 9.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB43 with 115.9 PPR points in 10 games, 11.6 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 3.6 points (RB53 that week), 36 rushing yards on 8 carries, 43 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 3.6 points (RB51 that week), 36 rushing yards on 10 carries, 34 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.3 points (RB39 that week), 49 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 7.2 points (RB38 that week), 40 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 32 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 15.4 points (RB13 that week), 68 rushing yards on 18 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Trevor Lawrence has scored 89.9 PPR points in 5 games, 18.0 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB4 with 350.2 PPR points in 17 games, 20.6 a game.

Week 1 vs CLE: 26.1 points (QB5 that week), 245 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 3 rushing yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DEN: 7.2 points (QB29 that week), 189 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 6 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs NE: 20.8 points (QB12 that week), 182 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CIN: 13.1 points (QB23 that week), 227 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PHI: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 331 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 11.5 carries for 40 yards and 1.0 targets and 0.8 catches for 4 yards a game on 40 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 21 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against SF he had 11 carries and 2 targets on 32 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has averaged 25.8 attempts, 211 passing yards and 2.0 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 9 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against CIN he went 18 of 23 for 227 yards and 1 touchdown.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. J.K. Dobbins has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Trevor Lawrence has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.

SEA, Dobbins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.2 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to RBs of 32.

HOU, Lawrence's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 19.7 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to QBs of 32.

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade J.K. Dobbins for Trevor Lawrence?

    It is close to even: J.K. Dobbins is 15 and Trevor Lawrence is 8 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, J.K. Dobbins or Trevor Lawrence?

    J.K. Dobbins, 15 to 8. He rates 9.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.2 over 11 for Trevor Lawrence, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number