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Trade Garrett Wilson for Nico Collins? Close to even, 79 to 73.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Garrett Wilson is 79 and Nico Collins is 73, a 6 point edge to Wilson that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Wilson rates 16.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Wilson has drawn 28 percent of NYJ targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Wilson is at NE in Week 6 (13th most points allowed to WRs); Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Garrett Wilson 7973 Nico Collins

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Garrett Wilson

WR8NYJ

79

value, #22

Pts/game
16.3
Games left
11
Bye
13
Garrett Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.716.716.3

Nico Collins

WR9HOU

73

value, #25

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
8
Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
2.815.716.7

Where the values come from

Wilson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 22nd overall. His 16.3 a game is 7.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 79.

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Garrett Wilson at 14.7 in Week 3, 16.7 in Week 4 and 16.3 in Week 5, a median of 16.3 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Garrett Wilson has scored 86.4 PPR points in 5 games, 17.3 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 16.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR62 with 99.5 PPR points in 7 games, 14.2 a game.

Week 1 vs TEN: 13.9 points (WR23 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs GB: 16.7 points (WR14 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DET: 26.7 points (WR3 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 107 yards, 1 touchdown, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CHI: 5.7 points (WR70 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CLE: 23.4 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Garrett Wilson has averaged 7.8 targets and 6.0 catches for 68 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 4 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against CHI he had 4 targets on 100 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Garrett Wilson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.

NE, Wilson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th most to WRs of 32.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for Garrett Wilson and Nico Collins

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Garrett Wilson for Nico Collins?

    It is close to even: Garrett Wilson is 79 and Nico Collins is 73 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Garrett Wilson or Nico Collins?

    Garrett Wilson, 79 to 73. He rates 16.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Nico Collins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number