Trade Ja'Marr Chase for Nico Collins? No, Chase is worth 16 more.
No on value. Ja'Marr Chase is worth 89 rest of season and Nico Collins 73, so giving up Chase costs 16. Chase rates 17.2 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Chase has drawn 18 percent of CIN targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Chase is on bye in Week 6; Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Ja'Marr Chase wins by 16.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2 | 19.0 | 4.1 |
- Pts/game
- 15.7
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | 15.7 | 16.7 |
Where the values come from
Chase is the 6th receiver on the chart and 17th overall. His 17.2 a game is 8.1 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 89.
Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Ja'Marr Chase at 17.2 in Week 3, 19.0 in Week 4 and 4.1 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, down 13.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.
Advertisement
Points so far against the price
Ja'Marr Chase has scored 79.9 PPR points in 5 games, 16.0 a game, 1.2 a game less than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR4 with 313.6 PPR points in 16 games, 19.6 a game.
Week 1 vs TB: 3.2 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 94 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs HOU: 26.5 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 75 yards, 2 touchdowns, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs PIT: 24.8 points (WR5 that week), 9 of 12 targets for 98 yards, 1 touchdown, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs JAX: 5.7 points (WR69 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 27 yards, 20 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs MIA: 19.7 points (WR10 that week), 6 of 10 targets for 77 yards, 1 touchdown.
Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.
Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 7.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 53 yards a game on 72 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against JAX he had 3 targets on 20 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.
In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Ja'Marr Chase has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.
JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Nico Collins would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 17. Two players for Chase also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Ja'Marr Chase and Nico Collins
Ja'Marr Chase for Jaxon Smith-Njigba89 vs 120
Ja'Marr Chase for Jonathan Taylor89 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Ja'Marr Chase119 vs 89
Derrick Henry for Ja'Marr Chase115 vs 89
Christian McCaffrey for Ja'Marr Chase114 vs 89
Jaylen Warren for Nico Collins102 vs 73
CeeDee Lamb for Nico Collins100 vs 73
Chuba Hubbard for Nico Collins96 vs 73
Aaron Jones Sr. for Nico Collins95 vs 73
Ashton Jeanty for Nico Collins95 vs 73
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Ja'Marr Chase for Nico Collins?
No on value: Ja'Marr Chase is worth 89 and Nico Collins 73, a loss of 16. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Chase.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Ja'Marr Chase or Nico Collins?
Ja'Marr Chase, 89 to 73. He rates 17.2 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Nico Collins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number