Trade Christian McCaffrey for Ja'Marr Chase? No, McCaffrey is worth 25 more.
No on value. Christian McCaffrey is worth 114 rest of season and Ja'Marr Chase 89, so giving up McCaffrey costs 25. McCaffrey rates 18.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Chase 17.2 with 11. On usage, McCaffrey has 45 percent of SF carries and 20 percent of its targets; Chase has drawn 18 percent of CIN targets. McCaffrey hosts WAS in Week 6 (4th fewest points allowed to RBs); Chase is on bye in Week 6. Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Christian McCaffrey wins by 25.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 18.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | 20.8 | 18.3 |
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2 | 19.0 | 4.1 |
Where the values come from
McCaffrey is the 6th running back on the chart and 8th overall. His 18.3 a game is 10.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 114.
Chase is the 6th receiver on the chart and 17th overall. His 17.2 a game is 8.1 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 89.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Christian McCaffrey at 12.8 in Week 3, 20.8 in Week 4 and 18.3 in Week 5, a median of 18.3 points a game, up 5.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Ja'Marr Chase at 17.2 in Week 3, 19.0 in Week 4 and 4.1 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, down 13.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Christian McCaffrey has scored 91.3 PPR points in 5 games, 18.3 a game, level with the 18.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB1 with 416.6 PPR points in 17 games, 24.5 a game.
Week 1 vs LAR: 13.8 points (RB19 that week), 68 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 8 targets for 20 yards, 55 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs MIA: 22.6 points (RB4 that week), 23 rushing yards on 10 carries, 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns, 52 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs ARI: 21.6 points (RB6 that week), 75 rushing yards on 15 carries, 4 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 83 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DEN: 16.0 points (RB20 that week), 52 rushing yards on 15 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs SEA: 17.3 points (RB8 that week), 68 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.
Ja'Marr Chase has scored 79.9 PPR points in 5 games, 16.0 a game, 1.2 a game less than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR4 with 313.6 PPR points in 16 games, 19.6 a game.
Week 1 vs TB: 3.2 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 94 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs HOU: 26.5 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 75 yards, 2 touchdowns, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs PIT: 24.8 points (WR5 that week), 9 of 12 targets for 98 yards, 1 touchdown, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs JAX: 5.7 points (WR69 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 27 yards, 20 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs MIA: 19.7 points (WR10 that week), 6 of 10 targets for 77 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Christian McCaffrey has averaged 12.5 carries for 55 yards and 5.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 31 yards a game on 66 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 35 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against DEN he had 15 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 7.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 53 yards a game on 72 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against JAX he had 3 targets on 20 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Christian McCaffrey has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Ja'Marr Chase has 11 games with his bye in Week 6.
WAS, McCaffrey's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.1 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th fewest to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Ja'Marr Chase would want about 25 more added to make it even: a player like Sam LaPorta, valued at 25. Two players for McCaffrey also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Christian McCaffrey and Ja'Marr Chase
Bijan Robinson for Christian McCaffrey154 vs 114
Christian McCaffrey for Kenneth Walker114 vs 145
Christian McCaffrey for Jaxon Smith-Njigba114 vs 120
Christian McCaffrey for Jonathan Taylor114 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Christian McCaffrey119 vs 114- Ja'Marr Chase for Jaxon Smith-Njigba89 vs 120
- Ja'Marr Chase for Jonathan Taylor89 vs 120
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Ja'Marr Chase119 vs 89
Derrick Henry for Ja'Marr Chase115 vs 89
Ja'Marr Chase for Jaylen Warren89 vs 102
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Christian McCaffrey for Ja'Marr Chase?
No on value: Christian McCaffrey is worth 114 and Ja'Marr Chase 89, a loss of 25. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs McCaffrey.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian McCaffrey or Ja'Marr Chase?
Christian McCaffrey, 114 to 89. He rates 18.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.2 over 11 for Ja'Marr Chase, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number